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Our research is regularly published in top-ranked scientific journals. Search for specific publications below
Journal / article | 2015
Baird, J., M. Jollineau, R. Plummer, J. Valenti. Exploring agricultural advice networks, beneficial management practices and water quality on the landscape: A geospatial social-ecological systems analysis. Land Use Policy doi:10.1016/j.landusepol.2015.11.017
Agricultural practices have been linked to detrimental effects on ecosystems, with water quality of particular concern. Research has been devoted to understanding uptake of beneficial, or best, management practices (BMPs) in agriculture; however, sources of advice and subsequent effects on the landscape have not been elucidated. This study set out to understand (1) what sources of information agricultural producers rely on ...
Bai, X., S. van der Leeuw, K. O’Brien, F. Berkhout, F. Biermann, E.S. Brondizio, C. Cudennec, J. Dearing, A. Duraiappah, M. Glaser, A. Revkin, W. Steffen, J. Syvitski. Plausible and desirable futures in the Anthropocene: A new research agenda. Global Environmental Change doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.09.017.
While the concept of the Anthropocene reflects the past and present nature, scale and magnitude of human impacts on the Earth System, its true significance lies in how it can be used to guide attitudes, choices, policies and actions that influence the future. Yet, to date much of the research on the Anthropocene has focused on interpreting past and present changes, while saying little about the future. Likewise, many futures s...
Angeler, D.G., C.R. Allen, C. Barichievy, T. Eason, A.S. Garmestani, N.A.J. Graham, D. Granholm, L.H. Gunderson, M. Knutson, K.L. Nash, R.J. Nelson, M. Nyström, T.L. Spanbauer, C.A. Stow, S.M. Sundstrom. Management applications of discontinuity theory. Journal of Applied Ecology DOI: 10.1111/1365-2664.12494
Human impacts on the environment are multifaceted and can occur across distinct spatiotemporal scales. Ecological responses to environmental change are therefore difficult to predict, and entail large degrees of uncertainty. Such uncertainty requires robust tools for management to sustain ecosystem goods and services and maintain resilient ecosystems. We propose an approach based on discontinuity theory that accounts for pa...
Soler, G.A., G.J. Edgar, R.J. Thomson, S. Kininmonth, S.J. Campbell, T.P. Dawson, N.S. Barrett, A.T.F. Bernard, D.E. Galvan, T.J. Willis, T.J. Alexander, R.D. Stuart-Smith. 2015. Reef fishes at all trophic levels respond positively to effective marine protected areas. Plos One 10(10): e0140270.
Marine Protected Areas (MPAs) offer a unique opportunity to test the assumption that fishing pressure affects some trophic groups more than others. Removal of larger predators through fishing is often suggested to have positive flow-on effects for some lower trophic groups, in which case protection from fishing should result in suppression of lower trophic groups as predator populations recover. We tested this by assessing d...
Sinare, H., L.J. Gordon. 2015. Ecosystem services from woody vegetation on agricultural lands in Sudano-Sahelian West Africa. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment 200: 186–199.
Investment in woody vegetation to counter land degradation and improve livelihoods is increasing, primarily revitalized by efforts to enhance carbon sequestration and climate change adaptation. Sudano-Sahelian West Africa is in focus for several interventions to increase woody vegetation for improved livelihoods. However, the knowledge on how woody vegetation maintains landscape productivity and contributes to livelihoods is w...
Siegmund, J.F., R.V. Donner, M. Wiedermann, J.F. Donges. 2015. Impact of climate extremes on wildlife plant flowering over Germany. Biogeosciences Discussions 12: 18389–18423.
Ongoing climate change is known to cause an increase in the frequency and amplitude of local temperature and precipitation extremes in many regions of the Earth. While gradual changes in the climatological conditions are known to strongly influence plant 5 flowering dates, the question arises if and how extremes specifically impact the timing of this important phenological phase. In this study, we systematically quantify sim...
Selomane, O., B. Reyers, R. Biggs, H. Tallis, S. Polasky. 2015. Towards integrated social-ecological sustainability indicators: Exploring the contribution and gaps in existing global data. Ecological Economics 118: 140–146.
Sustainable development goals (SDGs), which recognise the interconnections between social, economic and ecological systems, have ignited new interest in indicators able to integrate trends in – and interactions between – nature and socio-economic development. We explore whether existing global data can be used to measure nature's contribution to development targets and explore limitations in these data. Using Millennium Develo...
Schulze, J., R. Martin, A. Finger, C. Henzen, M. Lindner, K. Pietzsch, A. Werntze, U. Zander, R. Seppelt. 2015. Design, implementation and test of a serious online game for exploring complex relationships of sustainable land management and human well-being. Environmental Modelling and Software 65: 58–66.
Land is a limited resource providing various services. Decisions on land use shape the distribution of these life support functions and thus require understanding of complex feedbacks between decisions on land use and human resource appropriation. Due to multiple nonlinear feedbacks between management, productivity, environmental quality, and human well-being, complexity is an inherent property of land systems. We present an...
Schultz, L., C. Folke, H. Österblom, P. Olsson. 2015. Adaptive governance, ecosystem management, and natural capital. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA 112: 7369–7374.
To gain insights into the effects of adaptive governance on natural capital, we compare three well-studied initiatives; a landscape in Southern Sweden, the Great Barrier Reef in Australia, and fisheries in the Southern Ocean. We assess changes in natural capital and ecosystem services related to these social-ecological governance approaches to ecosystem management and investigate their capacity to respond to change and new cha...
Schleussner, C.-F., D.V. Divine, J.F. Donges, A. Miettinen, R.V. Donner. 2015. Indications for a North Atlantic Ocean circulation regime shift at the onset of the Little Ice Age. Climate Dynamics 45: 3623–3633.
A prominent characteristic of the reconstructed Northern Hemisphere temperature signal over the last millennium is the transition from the Medieval Climate Anomaly to the Little Ice Age (LIA). Here we report indications for a non-linear regime shift in the North Atlantic ocean circulation at the onset of the LIA. Specifically, we apply a novel statistical test based on horizontal visibility graphs to two ocean sediment Augus...
Stockholm Resilience Centre is a collaboration between Stockholm University and the Beijer Institute of Ecological Economics at the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences
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