Publication archive

Global ensemble projections reveal trophic amplification of ocean biomass declines with climate change

Lotze, H.K., Tittensor, D.P., Bryndum-Buchholz, A., Eddy, T.D. et. al. 2019. Global ensemble projections reveal trophic amplification of ocean biomass declines with climate change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Jun 2019, 201900194; DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1900194116

2019 - Journal / article

While the physical dimensions of climate change are now routinely assessed through multimodel intercomparisons, projected impacts on the global ocean ecosystem generally rely on individual models with a specific set of assumptions. To address these single-model limitations, we present standardized ensemble projections from six global marine ecosystem models forced with two Earth system models and four emission scenarios with a...

Nature-based solutions for urban climate change adaptation: Linking science, Policy, and practice communities for evidence-based decision-making

Frantzeskaki, N,, McPhearson, T., Collier, M.J., Kendal, D., Bulkeley, H., Dumitru, A., Walsh, et.al. 2019. Nature-based solutions for urban climate change adaptation: linking the science, policy, and practice community for evidence-based decision-making. BioScience, doi:10.1093/biosci/biz042

2019 - Journal / article

Nature-based solutions offer an exciting prospect for resilience building and advancing urban planning to address complex urban challenges simultaneously. In this article, we formulated through a coproduction process in workshops held during the first IPCC Cities and Climate Science Conference in Edmonton, Canada, in March 2018, a series of synthesis statements on the role, potential, and research gaps of nature-based solution...

Transnational partnerships’ strategies in global fisheries governance

Petersson, M.T. 2019. Transnational partnerships’ strategies in global fisheries governance. Int Groups Adv (2019). https://doi.org/10.1057/s41309-019-00056-x

2019 - Journal / article

This paper explores the role of transnational partnerships within a transboundary policy problem, namely illegal, unregulated, and unreported (IUU) fishing. It focuses on an understudied aspect in the partnership literature, namely ‘how and why do partnerships engage in advocacy’? The article theorizes and empirically explores the variation in strategies used by transnational partnerships to shape IUU policy development and im...

Global patterns of fisheries conflict: Forty years of data

Spijkers, J., Singh, G., Blasiak, R., Morrison, T.H., Le Billon, Österblom, H. 2019. Global patterns of fisheries conflict: Forty years of data. Global Environmental Change Volume 57, July 2019, 101921 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2019.05.005

2019 - Journal / article

International fisheries conflict can cause crises by threatening maritime security, ecosystems and livelihoods. In a highly connected world, the possibility for localized fisheries conflict to escalate into ‘systemic risks’, where risk in one domain such as food supply can increase risk in another domain such as maritime security and international relations, is growing. However, countries often choose hard-line actions rather ...

Inertia risk: improving economic models of catastrophes

Crépin, A-S., Nævdal, E. 2019. Inertia Risk: Improving Economic Models of Catastrophes. The Scandinavian Journal of Economics. Doi: 10.1111/sjoe.12381

2019 - Journal / article

We model endogenous catastrophic risk in a new way that we term inertia risk, which accounts for delays between physical variables and the hazard rate — a characteristic often observed in reality. The added realism significantly impacts optimal policies relative to the standard model of catastrophic risk. The probability of a catastrophe occurring at some point in time may span the entire interval [0, 1] and is not 0 or 1 as i...

From local landscapes to international policy: contributions of the biocultural paradigm to global sustainability

Merçon J., Vetter S., Tengö M., Cocks M., Balvanera P., Rosell J.A., Ayala-Orozco, B. 2019. From local landscapes to international policy: contributions of thebiocultural paradigm to global sustainability. Global Sustainability 2, e7, 1–11. https://doi.org/10.1017/sus.2019.4

2019 - Journal / article

Nature and culture are intricately linked and the rapid loss of both biological and cultural diversity around the globe has led to increasing concerns about its effects on sustainability. Important efforts to understand biocultural relations and bolster sustainable practices have been made by scientists, local communities, civil society organizations and policy makers. In spite of their efforts, a stronger articulation between...

Towards greater transparency and coherence in funding for sustainable marine fisheries and healthy oceans

Blasiak, R., Wabnitz, C.C.C., Daw, T., Berger, M., et.al. 2019. Towards greater transparency and coherence in funding for sustainable marine fisheries and healthy oceans. Marine Policy, DOI: 10.1016/j.marpol.2019.04.012

2019 - Journal / article

This final manuscript in the special issue on “Funding for ocean conservation and sustainable fisheries” is the result of a dialogue aimed at connecting lead authors of the special issue manuscripts with relevant policymakers and practitioners. The dialogue took place over the course of a two-day workshop in December 2018, and this “coda” manuscript seeks to distil thinking around a series of key recurring topics raised throug...

Tales of transforming cities: Transformative climate governance capacities in New York City, U.S. and Rotterdam, Netherlands

Hölscher., K., Frantzeskaki, N., McPhearson, T., Loorbach, D. 2019. Tales of transforming cities: Transformative climate governance capacities in New York City, U.S. and Rotterdam, Netherlands. Journal of Environmental Management Volume 231, 1 February 2019, Pages 843-857 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2018.10.043

2019 - Journal / article

Climate change actions in cities worldwide are driving deep changes in urban governance. We ask whether new capacities for transformative climate governance are emerging in two cities that have experimented with urban climate governance: Rotterdam, the Netherlands, and New York City (NYC), United States. Transformative climate governance creates the conditions for developing integrated and innovative climate mitigation and ada...

The potential of models and modeling for social-ecological systems research: the reference frame ModSES

Schlüter, M., B. Müller, and K. Frank. 2019. The potential of models and modeling for social-ecological systems research: the reference frame ModSES. Ecology and Society 24(1):31.https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-10716-240131

2019 - Journal / article

 Dynamic models have long been a common tool to support management of ecological and economic systems and played a prominent role in the early days of resilience research. Model applications have largely focused on policy assessment, the development of optimal management strategies, or analysis of system stability. However, modeling can serve many other purposes such as understanding system responses that emerge from complex i...

Conceptualisations of fisheries development in Eastern Africa over time and between actors

Blandon, A., Daw, T., Haider, J., Stone-Jovicich, S. 2019. Conceptualisations of fisheries development in Eastern Africa over time and between actors. Marine Policy, DOI: 10.1016/j.marpol.2019.103512

2019 - Journal / article

Since the late-2000s, there has been a growing discussion around development aid approaches that reflect complexity concepts, such as adaptive and iterative project management. Fisheries development interventions deal with particularly complex realities. They also illustrate the changing problems and prescribed solutions of development “paradigms” over time, which have yet to be systematically analysed in a fisheries context. ...