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Our research is regularly published in top-ranked scientific journals. Search for specific publications below
Journal / article | 2017
Niiranen, S., Richter, A., Blenckner, T., L.C. Stige, Valman, M. A-M., Eikseset. 2017.Global connectivity and cross-scale interactions create uncertainty for Blue Growth of Arctic fisheries. Marine Policy, Volume 87, January 2018, Pages 321-330. DOI: 10.1016/j.marpol.2017.10.024
The Arctic faces high expectations of Blue Growth due to future projections of easier access and increased biological productivity. These expectations are, however, often based on global and regional climate change projections and largely ignore the complexity of social-ecological interactions taking place across different temporal and spatial scales. This paper illustrates how such cross-scale interactions at, and across, dif...
Merrie, A., Keys,. P., M. Metian, Österblom, H. 2017. Radical ocean futures-scenario development using science fiction prototyping. Futures, available online 7 October 2017. DOI: 10.1016/j.futures.2017.09.005
Scenarios can help individuals, communities, corporations and nations to develop a capacity for dealing with the unknown and unpredictable, or the unlikely but possible. A range of scientific methods for developing scenarios is available, but we argue that they have limited capacity to investigate complex social-ecological futures because: 1) non-linear change is rarely incorporated and: 2) they rarely involve co-evolutionar...
Preiser, R., Pereira, L., M., R. Biggs. 2017. Navigating alternative framings of human-environment interactions: Variations on the theme of ‘Finding Nemo’. Anthropocene, available online 2 November 2017, DOI: 10.1016/j.ancene.2017.10.003
Wide agreement exists that the “Anthropocene” demands new forms of engagement and responses to achieve sustainability, but different fields suggest quite different approaches. In this communication, we set out four perspectives that we argue have fundamentally different framings of the “problem” of the Anthropocene, and consequently point to very different responses to achieving sustainability. These four fields include: the e...
Crépin, AS., Gren, Å., Engström, G. and Ospina, D. 2017. Operationalising a social–ecological system perspective on the Arctic Ocean. Ambio 46(Suppl 3): 475. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-017-0960-4
We propose a framework to support management that builds on a social–ecological system perspective on the Arctic Ocean. We illustrate the framework’s application for two policy-relevant scenarios of climate-driven change, picturing a shift in zooplankton composition and alternatively a crab invasion. We analyse archetypical system dynamics between the socio-economic, the natural, and the governance systems in these scenarios. ...
Blasiak. R., Huang, J, H-W., Ishihara, H., et. al. 2017. Promoting diversity and inclusiveness in seafood certification and ecolabelling: Prospects for Asia. Marine Policy Volume 85, November 2017, Pages 42-47, DOI: 10.1016/j.marpol.2017.08.011
Building on the inputs by a range of experts who participated in the February 2017 international symposium on “Designing the Future for Fisheries Certification Schemes” at the University of Tokyo, this manuscript traces the origins of fisheries certification schemes, relevant developments, and remaining challenges from an Asian perspective. Over the past 20 years, seafood certification has emerged as a powerful tool for meetin...
Purcell, S.W., Crona, B.I., Lalavanua W., Eriksson, H. 2017. Distribution of economic returns in small-scale fisheries for international markets: A value-chain analysis. Marine Policy Volume 86, December 2017, Pages 9-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.marpol.2017.09.001
Small-scale fishers are often believed to receive marginal earnings for seafood relative to other value- chain actors but proportionate incomes across different traded species are rarely compared. This study compares value chains for 15 species of sea cucumbers between Fiji and Kiribati using data collected on sale prices of dried products (bêche-de-mer) from fishers to middlemen and exporters, export prices and market retail ...
Ituarte-Lima, C. McDermott, C.L. 2017. Are more prescriptive laws better? transforming REDD+ safeguards into national legislation. Journal of Environmental Law, Volume 29, Issue 3, 1 November 2017, Pages 505–536, https://doi.org/10.1093/jel/eqx020
International schemes for financing conservation and climate mitigation, such as Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Degradation and forest enhancement (REDD+), have generated concerns about the effect of large influxes of money on good governance, the human rights of local land users, and biodiversity. While there is agreement on the need for safeguards to prevent negative effects, how prescriptive or flexible those saf...
Rieb, J.T, Chaplin-Kramer, R., Daily, G.C. et al. 2017. When, where, and how nature matters for ecosystem services: challenges for the next generation of ecosystem service models. BioScience, Volume 67, Issue 9, 1 September 2017, Pages 820–833, https://doi.org/10.1093/biosci/bix075
Many decision-makers are looking to science to clarify how nature supports human well-being. Scientists’ responses have typically focused on empirical models of the provision of ecosystem services (ES) and resulting decision-support tools. Although such tools have captured some of the complexities of ES, they can be difficult to adapt to new situations. Globally useful tools that predict the provision of multiple ES under diff...
Tidball, K.G, Metcalf, S., Bain, M., Elmqvist, T. 2017. Community-led reforestation: cultivating the potential of virtuous cycles to confer resilience in disaster disrupted social–ecological systems. Sustain Sci https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-017-0506-5
Human relationships with trees can result in widespread citizen-led reforestation projects that catalyze social–biological-reinforcing feedback loops and set in motion virtuous cycles that restore perturbed social–ecological systems. These virtuous cycles confer resilience in such systems that counterbalance the tendency for vicious cycles to be triggered by destructive behavior and neglect. Given this argument, we ask: how do...
Troell, M., Eide, A., Isaksen, J., Hermansen, Ø., Crépin, A-C. 2017. Seafood from a changing Arctic. Ambio 46(Suppl 3): 368. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-017-0954-2
We review current knowledge about climate change impacts on Arctic seafood production. Large-scale changes in the Arctic marine food web can be expected for the next 40–100 years. Possible future trajectories under climate change for Arctic capture fisheries anticipate the movement of aquatic species into new waters and changed the dynamics of existing species. Negative consequences are expected for some fish stocks but others...
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