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Our research is regularly published in top-ranked scientific journals. Search for specific publications below
Journal / article | 2019
Barfuss, W., Donges, J.F., Kurths, J. 2019. Deterministic limit of temporal difference reinforcement learning for stochastic games. Phys. Rev. E 99, 043305. DOI: 10.1103/PhysRevE.99.043305
Reinforcement learning in multiagent systems has been studied in the fields of economic game theory, artificial intelligence and statistical physics by developing an analytical understanding of the learning dynamics (often in relation to the replicator dynamics of evolutionary game theory). However, the majority of these analytical studies focuses on repeated normal form games, which only have a single environmental state. Env...
Lippe, M., Bithell, M., Gotts, N., Natalini, D., Barbrook-Johnson, P., et.al. 2019. Using agent-based modelling to simulate social-ecological systems across scales. GeoInformatica, April 2019, Volume 23, Issue 2, pp 269–29
Agent-based modelling (ABM) simulates Social-Ecological-Systems (SESs) based on the decision-making and actions of individual actors or actor groups, their interactions with each other, and with ecosystems. Many ABM studies have focused at the scale of villages, rural landscapes, towns or cities. When considering a geographical, spatially-explicit domain, current ABM architecture is generally not easily translatable to a regio...
Flores, B.M., A. Staal, C.C. Jacovac, M. Hirota, M. Holmgren, Oliveira, R.S. 2019. Soil erosion as a resilience drain in disturbed tropical forests. Plant and Soil. DOI: 10.1007/s11104-019-04097-8
Tropical forests are threatened by intensifying natural and anthropogenic disturbance regimes. Disturbances reduce tree cover and leave the organic topsoil vulnerable to erosion processes, but when resources are still abundant forests usually recover. Across the tropics, variation in rainfall erosivity – a measure of potential soil exposure to water erosion – indicates that soils in the wetter regions would experience high er...
Piemontese, L., Fetzer, I., Rockström, J., Jaramillo, F. 2019. Future hydroclimatic impacts on Africa: beyond the Paris Agreement. Earth's Future, Volume7, Issue7, July 2019, Pages 748-761
Projections of global warming in Africa are generally associated with increasing aridity and decreasing water availability. However, most freshwater assessments focus on single hydroclimatic indicators (e.g., runoff, precipitation, or aridity), lacking analysis on combined changes in evaporative demand, and water availability on land. There remains a high degree of uncertainty over water implications at the basin scale, in par...
Lhermie, G., Wernli, D., Jørgensen, P.S, et.al. 2019. Tradeoffs between resistance to antimicrobials in public health and their use in agriculture: Moving towards sustainability assessment. Ecological Economics Volume 166, December 2019, 106427
Antimicrobial use (AMU) in animal agriculture contributes to select resistant bacteria potentially transferred to humans directly or indirectly via the food chain, representing a public health hazard. Yet, a major difference triggering AMU in food animal production is that in addition to therapeutic cure, farmers use antimicrobials to keep their herds healthy and highly productive, while ensuring animal welfare and food safety...
Mancilla Garcia, M., Hertz, T., Schlüter, M. 2019. Towards a process epistemology for the analysis of social-ecological systems. Environmental Values. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3197/096327119X15579936382608
This paper proposes an epistemological approach to analyse social-ecological systems from a process perspective in order to better tackle the co-constitution of the social and the ecological and the dynamism of these systems. It highlights the usefulness of rethinking our conceptual tools taking processes and relations as the main constituents of reality instead of fundamental substances or essences. We introduce the concept o...
Policy brief or report | 2019
Alfvén, T., Dahlstrand, J., Humphreys, D., Helldén, D. et.al. 2019. Placing children at the centre of the Sustainable Development Goals. A SIGHT–Swedish Society of Medicine Road Map on Global Child Health. Swedish Institute for Global Health Transformation (SIGHT), Swedish Society of Medicine’s Committee for Global Health
Palomino-Ángel, S., Anaya-Acevedo, J.A., Simard, M., et.al. 2019. Analysis of Floodplain Dynamics in the Atrato River Colombia Using SAR Interferometry. Water 2019, 11(5), 875; https://doi.org/10.3390/w11050875
Floodplain water flows have large volumetric flowrates and high complexity in space and time that are difficult to understand using water level gauges. We here analyze the spatial and temporal fluctuations of surface water flows in the floodplain of the Atrato River, Colombia, in order to evaluate their hydrological connectivity. The basin is one of the rainiest areas of the world with wetland ecosystems threatened by the expa...
Blasiak, R., Jouffray, J-B., Wabnitz, C.C.C., Österblom, H. 2019. Scientists Should Disclose Origin in Marine Gene Patents. Science & Society Vol. 34, Issue 5, P392-395, MAY 01, 2019
Müller-Hansen, F., Heitzig, J., Donges, J.F., Cardoso, M.F., et.al. 2019. Can Intensification of Cattle Ranching Reduce Deforestation in the Amazon? Insights From an Agent-based Social-Ecological Model. Ecological Economics Volume 159, May 2019, Pages 198-211
Deforestation in the Amazon with its vast consequences for the ecosystem and climate is largely related to subsequent land use for cattle ranching. In addition to conservation policies, proposals to reduce deforestation include measures to intensify cattle ranching. However, the effects of land-use intensification on deforestation are debated in the literature. This paper introduces the abacra model, a stylized agent-based mo...
Stockholm Resilience Centre is a collaboration between Stockholm University and the Beijer Institute of Ecological Economics at the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences
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