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Our research is regularly published in top-ranked scientific journals. Search for specific publications below
Journal / article | 2017
Moor, H. 2017. Life history trade-off moderates model predictions of diversity loss from climate change. Plos One 12(5): e0177778
Climate change can trigger species range shifts, local extinctions and changes in diversity. Species interactions and dispersal capacity are important mediators of community responses to climate change. The interaction between multispecies competition and variation in dispersal capacity has recently been shown to exacerbate the effects of climate change on diversity and to increase predictions of extinction risk dramatically. ...
Mazziotta, A., J. Vizentin-Bugoni, A.P. Tottrup, H.H. Bruun, O. Fritz, J. Heilmann-Clausen. 2017. Interaction type and intimacy structure networks between forest-dwelling organisms and their host trees. Basic and Applied Ecology 24: 86-97.
Species interact in many ways. Potentially, the type of interaction, e.g. mutualistic, commensalistic or antagonistic, determines the structure of interaction networks, but this remains poorly tested. Here we investigate whether epiphytes and wood decomposers, having different types of interaction with their host trees, show different network properties. We also test whether the traits of host trees affect network architecture...
Maury, O., L. Campling, H. Arrizabalaga, O. Aumont, L. Bopp, G. Merino, D. Squires, W. Cheung, M. Goujon, C. Guivarch, S. Lefort, F. Marsac, P. Monteagudo, R. Murtugudde, H. Österblom, J.F. Pulvenis, Y. Ye, B.J. van Ruijven. 2017. From shared socio-economic pathways (SSPs) to oceanic system pathways (OSPs): building policy-relevant scenarios for global oceanic ecosystems and fisheries. Global Environmental Change 45: 203-216
There is an urgent need for developing policy-relevant future scenarios of biodiversity and ecosystem services. This paper is a milestone toward this aim focusing on open ocean fisheries. We develop five contrasting Oceanic System Pathways (OSPs), based on the existing five archetypal worlds of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) developed for climate change research (e.g., Nakicenovic et al., 2014 and Riahi et al., 2016). Fi...
Mathias, J-D., S.J. Lade, V. Galaz. 2017. Multi-level policies and adaptive social networks - a conceptual modeling study for maintaining a polycentric governance system. International Journal of The Commons 11(1): 220-247.
Information and collaboration patterns embedded in social networks play key roles in multilevel and polycentric modes of governance. However, modeling the dynamics of such social networks in multilevel settings has been seldom addressed in the literature. Here we use an adaptive social network model to elaborate the interplay between a central and a local government in order to maintain a polycentric governance. More specifica...
Mahecha, M.D., F. Gans, S. Sippel, J.F. Donges, T. Kaminski, S. Metzger, M. Migliavacca, D. Papale, A. Rammig, J. Zscheischler. 2017. Detecting impacts of extreme events with ecological in situ monitoring networks. Biogeosciences 14(18): 4255-4277
Extreme hydrometeorological conditions typically impact ecophysiological processes on land. Satellite-based observations of the terrestrial biosphere provide an important reference for detecting and describing the spatiotemporal development of such events. However, in-depth investigations of ecological processes during extreme events require additional in situ observations. The question is whether the density of existing ecolo...
Lynham, J., B.S. Halpern, T. Blenckner, T. Essington, J. Estes, M. Hunsicker, C. Kappel, A.K. Salomon, C. Scarborough, K.A. Selkoe, A. Stier. 2017. Costly stakeholder participation creates inertia in marine ecosystems. Marine Policy 76: 122-129.
Ecosystems often shift abruptly and dramatically between different regimes in response to human or natural disturbances. When ecosystems tip from one regime to another, the suite of available ecosystem benefits changes, impacting the stakeholders who rely on these benefits. These changes often create some groups who stand to incur large losses if an ecosystem returns to a previous regime. When the participation cost in the dec...
Lansing, J.S., S. Thurner, N.N. Chung, A. Coudurier-Curveur, C. Karakas, K.A. Fesenmyer, L.Y. Chew. 2017. Adaptive self-organization of Bali's ancient rice terraces. Proceedings of The National Academy of Sciences, USA 114(25): 6504-6509.
Spatial patterning often occurs in ecosystems as a result of a self-organizing process caused by feedback between organisms and the physical environment. Here, we show that the spatial patterns observable in centuries-old Balinese rice terraces are also created by feedback between farmers’ decisions and the ecology of the paddies, which triggers a transition from local to global-scale control of water shortages and rice pests....
Lansing, J.S., C. Abundo, G.S. Jacobs, E.G. Guillot, S. Thurner, S.S. Downey, L.Y. Chew, T. Bhattacharya, N.N. Chung, H. Sudoyo, M.P. Cox. 2017. Kinship structures create persistent channels for language transmission. Proceedings of The National Academy of Sciences, USA 114(49): 12910-12915.
Languages are transmitted through channels created by kinship systems. Given sufficient time, these kinship channels can change the genetic and linguistic structure of populations. In traditional societies of eastern Indonesia, finely resolved cophylogenies of languages and genes reveal persistent movements between stable speech communities facilitated by kinship rules. When multiple languages are present in a region and postm...
Lade, S.J., L.J. Haider, G. Engström, M. Schlüter. 2017. Resilience offers escape from trapped thinking on poverty alleviation. Science Advances 3(5): 1603043.
The poverty trap concept strongly influences current research and policy on poverty alleviation. Financial or technological inputs intended to “push” the rural poor out of a poverty trap have had many successes but have also failed unexpectedly with serious ecological and social consequences that can reinforce poverty. Resilience thinking can help to (i) understand how these failures emerge from the complex relationships betwe...
Lade, S.J., S. Niiranen. 2017. Generalized modeling of empirical social-ecological systems. Natural Resource Modeling 30(3): e12129.
Modeling social‐ecological systems is difficult due to the complexity of ecosystems and of individual and collective human behavior. Key components of the social‐ecological system are often over‐simplified or omitted. Generalized modeling is a dynamical systems approach that can overcome some of these challenges. It can rigorously analyze qualitative system dynamics such as regime shifts despite incomplete knowledge of the mod...
Stockholm Resilience Centre is a collaboration between Stockholm University and the Beijer Institute of Ecological Economics at the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences
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